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Red114
17320.9
17731.4
17646.2
Blue101
31923.9
19525.2
169936.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1109150100150114101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#2
46.20.4
45.846.2
Auto14.2
Teleop30.3
End1.6
red by 9.9
36.30.1
36.236.3
Auto12.1
Teleop20.8
End3.4
Second
177
#1
31.40.4
31.031.4
Auto12.3
Teleop17.9
End1.2
red by 6.2
195
#14
25.20.1
25.025.2
Auto6.4
Teleop18.2
End0.6
Third
173
#22
20.90.4
20.620.9
Auto6.9
Teleop11.1
End2.9
blue by 2.9
319
#20
23.90.1
23.823.9
Auto7.8
Teleop15.9
End0.2