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Red116
17320.9
17731.4
17646.2
Blue110
31923.9
19525.2
169936.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1098950100150116110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#2
46.20.3
45.545.8
Auto14.2
Teleop30.3
End1.6
red by 9.9
36.30.6
35.636.2
Auto12.1
Teleop20.8
End3.4
Second
177
#1
31.40.3
30.731.0
Auto12.3
Teleop17.9
End1.2
red by 6.2
195
#14
25.20.6
24.425.0
Auto6.4
Teleop18.2
End0.6
Third
173
#22
20.90.3
20.320.6
Auto6.9
Teleop11.1
End2.9
blue by 2.9
319
#20
23.90.6
23.223.8
Auto7.8
Teleop15.9
End0.2