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Red60
740730.6
808526.4
549415.0
Blue100
31923.9
19525.2
169936.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7992406010012014016060100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.3
30.930.6
Auto9.7
Teleop15.5
End5.4
blue by 5.7
36.30.4
35.235.6
Auto12.1
Teleop20.8
End3.4
Second
26.40.3
26.726.4
Auto10.1
Teleop11.9
End4.5
red by 1.3
195
#14
25.20.4
24.024.4
Auto6.4
Teleop18.2
End0.6
Third
5494
#34
15.00.3
15.315.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.6
blue by 8.9
319
#20
23.90.4
22.823.2
Auto7.8
Teleop15.9
End0.2