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Red79
514221.5
693321.1
17731.4
Blue59
318220.5
23024.4
888920.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74716080901007959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#1
31.40.8
25.125.8
Auto12.3
Teleop17.9
End1.2
red by 7.0
230
#18
24.40.5
26.926.4
Auto9.0
Teleop11.7
End3.7
Second
5142
#11
21.50.8
21.822.6
Auto8.0
Teleop10.9
End2.6
red by 0.9
8889
#30
20.60.5
20.119.7
Auto7.6
Teleop10.0
End3.0
Third
6933
#17
21.11.3
18.619.9
Auto10.8
Teleop7.6
End2.7
red by 0.7
3182
#10
20.50.5
19.318.8
Auto8.1
Teleop9.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed