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Red53
109918.3
712716.7
31923.9
Blue63
549415.0
21709.4
17646.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577520401001205363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#20
23.90.4
19.118.7
Auto7.8
Teleop15.9
End0.2
blue by 22.3
176
#2
46.20.2
42.942.7
Auto14.2
Teleop30.3
End1.6
Second
18.30.4
17.016.6
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End3.3
red by 3.3
5494
#34
15.00.2
16.015.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.6
Third
7127
#32
16.70.4
17.417.0
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 7.3
2170
#26
9.40.2
6.96.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsMissed73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed