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Red107
346122.1
174029.2
740730.6
Blue72
55824.5
169936.3
22820.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75736070809010010772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.62.5
26.729.2
Auto9.7
Teleop15.5
End5.4
blue by 5.7
36.30.0
27.927.9
Auto12.1
Teleop20.8
End3.4
Second
29.22.5
23.425.9
Auto12.9
Teleop13.3
End3.0
red by 4.7
558
#13
24.50.0
21.421.4
Auto5.7
Teleop15.4
End3.4
Third
3461
#16
22.12.5
17.419.9
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End0.6
red by 2.1
228
#31
20.00.0
17.317.4
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed