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Red52
318220.5
83917.5
365416.1
Blue63
23627.5
23024.4
19525.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51762040601001205263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3182
#10
20.50.5
18.818.3
Auto8.1
Teleop9.5
End2.9
blue by 7.0
236
#9
27.50.3
21.020.6
Auto9.8
Teleop8.0
End9.7
Second
839
#23
17.50.5
14.814.4
Auto3.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
blue by 7.7
195
#14
25.20.3
18.518.2
Auto6.4
Teleop18.2
End0.6
Third
3654
#33
16.10.5
15.414.9
Auto9.4
Teleop5.2
End1.5
blue by 8.3
230
#18
24.40.3
26.426.1
Auto9.0
Teleop11.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed68%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsEarned