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Red58
549415.0
57122.0
514221.5
Blue90
693321.1
17646.2
808526.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions551032040801201401605890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
#29
22.00.2
16.616.8
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End2.1
blue by 24.2
176
#2
46.20.1
40.540.6
Auto14.2
Teleop30.3
End1.6
Second
5142
#11
21.50.2
22.622.7
Auto8.0
Teleop10.9
End2.6
blue by 4.9
26.40.1
27.527.6
Auto10.1
Teleop11.9
End4.5
Third
5494
#34
15.00.2
16.316.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.6
blue by 6.2
6933
#17
21.10.2
19.920.1
Auto10.8
Teleop7.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed