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Red83
17731.4
173513.2
17816.4
Blue69
740730.6
109918.3
22820.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557002040801001208369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#1
31.42.1
25.827.9
Auto12.3
Teleop17.9
End1.2
red by 0.8
30.60.2
29.229.4
Auto9.7
Teleop15.5
End5.4
Second
178
#28
16.42.1
13.515.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.4
End2.3
blue by 3.6
228
#31
20.00.2
17.417.5
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End0.8
Third
1735
#25
13.22.1
12.214.3
Auto7.3
Teleop4.8
End1.0
blue by 5.1
18.30.2
14.815.0
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed