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Red58
971013.5
870925.0
15520.9
Blue77
31923.9
888920.6
21709.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515230406070805877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.3
17.317.6
Auto7.6
Teleop14.8
End2.7
red by 1.1
319
#20
23.91.1
19.420.5
Auto7.8
Teleop15.9
End0.2
Second
155
#12
20.90.3
19.920.1
Auto8.5
Teleop10.3
End2.2
red by 0.3
8889
#30
20.61.1
19.720.8
Auto7.6
Teleop10.0
End3.0
Third
9710
#19
13.50.3
9.79.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.0
red by 4.1
2170
#26
9.41.1
7.08.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned