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Red47
549415.0
46725.9
6116.6
Blue72
365416.1
346122.1
715314.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645102040801001204772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#21
25.90.6
23.622.9
Auto7.3
Teleop15.7
End2.9
red by 3.8
3461
#16
22.11.0
20.421.3
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End0.6
Second
61
#27
16.60.6
16.315.7
Auto6.1
Teleop7.7
End2.8
red by 0.5
3654
#33
16.11.0
14.915.9
Auto9.4
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Third
5494
#34
15.00.6
16.515.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.6
red by 0.8
7153
#24
14.21.0
12.313.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned