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Red59
55824.5
712716.7
17816.4
Blue75
870925.0
318220.5
17320.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615740507080905975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#13
24.50.2
23.623.7
Auto5.7
Teleop15.4
End3.4
blue by 0.5
25.01.4
17.619.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.8
End2.7
Second
7127
#32
16.70.2
15.415.6
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 4.2
173
#22
20.91.4
16.017.4
Auto6.9
Teleop11.1
End2.9
Third
178
#28
16.40.2
15.615.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.4
End2.3
blue by 4.1
3182
#10
20.51.4
18.319.7
Auto8.1
Teleop9.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned