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Red72
31923.9
173513.2
83917.5
Blue54
174029.2
672310.7
888920.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52660204060801001201407254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#20
23.91.2
18.920.1
Auto7.8
Teleop15.9
End0.2
blue by 5.3
29.20.3
27.627.3
Auto12.9
Teleop13.3
End3.0
Second
839
#23
17.51.2
14.715.9
Auto3.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
blue by 3.1
8889
#30
20.60.3
20.019.7
Auto7.6
Teleop10.0
End3.0
Third
1735
#25
13.21.2
15.516.7
Auto7.3
Teleop4.8
End1.0
red by 2.5
6723
#36
10.70.3
10.910.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed