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Red60
21709.4
23627.5
715314.2
Blue51
346122.1
514221.5
10279.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446120801006051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#9
27.50.7
21.422.2
Auto9.8
Teleop8.0
End9.7
red by 5.4
3461
#16
22.10.1
21.321.2
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End0.6
Second
7153
#24
14.20.7
13.314.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End2.4
blue by 7.4
5142
#11
21.50.1
23.523.4
Auto8.0
Teleop10.9
End2.6
Third
2170
#26
9.40.7
7.17.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End1.9
red by 0.5
1027
#35
9.00.2
8.48.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed