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Red79
712716.7
318220.5
57122.0
Blue68
365416.1
22820.0
17320.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5856405070807968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
#29
22.01.8
17.118.9
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End2.1
red by 1.1
173
#22
20.90.8
17.418.2
Auto6.9
Teleop11.1
End2.9
Second
3182
#10
20.51.8
19.721.5
Auto8.1
Teleop9.5
End2.9
red by 0.5
228
#31
20.00.8
17.518.3
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End0.8
Third
7127
#32
16.71.8
15.617.3
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 0.6
3654
#33
16.10.8
15.916.7
Auto9.4
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed