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Red24
19525.2
17320.9
173513.2
Blue104
169936.3
549415.0
31923.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5061020408010012024104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#14
25.21.5
18.617.1
Auto6.4
Teleop18.2
End0.6
blue by 11.1
36.33.0
24.827.8
Auto12.1
Teleop20.8
End3.4
Second
173
#22
20.91.5
14.913.4
Auto6.9
Teleop11.1
End2.9
blue by 2.9
319
#20
23.93.0
15.718.7
Auto7.8
Teleop15.9
End0.2
Third
1735
#25
13.21.5
12.611.2
Auto7.3
Teleop4.8
End1.0
blue by 1.8
5494
#34
15.03.0
13.316.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed51%Ensemble oddsMissed