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Red58
83917.5
55824.5
6116.6
Blue36
971013.5
10279.0
318220.5
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5640020801005836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#13
24.50.6
19.620.3
Auto5.7
Teleop15.4
End3.4
red by 4.0
3182
#10
20.50.6
18.317.7
Auto8.1
Teleop9.5
End2.9
Second
839
#23
17.50.6
14.615.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
red by 4.0
9710
#19
13.50.6
9.58.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.0
Third
61
#27
16.60.7
14.415.1
Auto6.1
Teleop7.7
End2.8
red by 7.6
1027
#35
9.01.0
10.29.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed