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Red119
99930.1
888920.6
17646.2
Blue62
15520.9
712716.7
346122.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions944802040608012014011962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#2
46.22.3
37.039.3
Auto14.2
Teleop30.3
End1.6
red by 24.1
3461
#16
22.10.9
16.617.5
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End0.6
Second
999
#15
30.12.3
25.127.4
Auto11.1
Teleop16.6
End2.4
red by 9.2
155
#12
20.90.9
17.718.5
Auto8.5
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Third
8889
#30
20.62.3
17.519.8
Auto7.6
Teleop10.0
End3.0
red by 3.9
7127
#32
16.70.9
15.015.8
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed