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Red47
46725.9
365416.1
672310.7
Blue57
808526.4
17816.4
109918.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556340801004757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#21
25.90.3
22.121.8
Auto7.3
Teleop15.7
End2.9
blue by 0.5
26.40.1
28.028.0
Auto10.1
Teleop11.9
End4.5
Second
3654
#33
16.10.3
15.515.2
Auto9.4
Teleop5.2
End1.5
blue by 2.2
18.30.1
14.814.8
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End3.3
Third
6723
#36
10.70.3
13.413.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End0.8
blue by 5.7
178
#28
16.40.1
13.213.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed62%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned