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Red86
19525.2
57122.0
17731.4
Blue52
31923.9
715314.2
17320.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6543020801001208652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#1
31.41.3
23.725.1
Auto12.3
Teleop17.9
End1.2
red by 7.5
319
#20
23.90.7
18.719.4
Auto7.8
Teleop15.9
End0.2
Second
195
#14
25.21.3
17.118.5
Auto6.4
Teleop18.2
End0.6
red by 4.2
173
#22
20.90.7
13.414.1
Auto6.9
Teleop11.1
End2.9
Third
571
#29
22.01.3
15.116.4
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End2.1
red by 7.8
7153
#24
14.20.7
9.410.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed