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Red81
346122.1
19525.2
870925.0
Blue72
57122.0
6116.6
174029.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647040506080901008172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#14
25.21.3
18.620.0
Auto6.4
Teleop18.2
End0.6
blue by 4.1
29.20.6
28.128.8
Auto12.9
Teleop13.3
End3.0
Second
25.01.3
20.321.6
Auto7.6
Teleop14.8
End2.7
red by 3.0
571
#29
22.00.6
18.919.5
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End2.1
Third
3461
#16
22.11.3
20.021.3
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End0.6
red by 5.5
61
#27
16.60.6
15.516.1
Auto6.1
Teleop7.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned