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Red38
21709.4
971013.5
22820.0
Blue22
672310.7
23024.4
17816.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3960020801001203822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#31
20.00.0
18.318.3
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End0.8
blue by 4.4
230
#18
24.42.1
25.123.0
Auto9.0
Teleop11.7
End3.7
Second
9710
#19
13.50.0
12.312.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.0
blue by 2.8
178
#28
16.42.1
17.014.9
Auto4.7
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Third
2170
#26
9.40.0
6.86.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End1.9
blue by 1.2
6723
#36
10.72.1
9.97.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed