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Red96
23024.4
99930.1
712716.7
Blue39
173513.2
549415.0
971013.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8142020601001201409639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#15
30.10.8
28.529.3
Auto11.1
Teleop16.6
End2.4
red by 15.1
5494
#34
15.00.9
15.414.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.6
Second
230
#18
24.40.8
24.124.9
Auto9.0
Teleop11.7
End3.7
red by 10.9
9710
#19
13.50.9
13.412.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.0
Third
7127
#32
16.70.8
16.317.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 3.5
1735
#25
13.20.9
13.912.9
Auto7.3
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsEarned