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Red105
17646.2
23627.5
672310.7
Blue129
870925.0
57122.0
169936.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8781050150200250300105129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#2
46.21.8
44.045.8
Auto14.2
Teleop30.3
End1.6
red by 9.9
36.32.0
31.233.2
Auto12.1
Teleop20.8
End3.4
Second
236
#9
27.51.8
24.626.4
Auto9.8
Teleop8.0
End9.7
red by 2.5
25.02.0
23.125.1
Auto7.6
Teleop14.8
End2.7
Third
6723
#36
10.71.8
9.611.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End0.8
blue by 11.3
571
#29
22.02.0
20.022.0
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsEarned