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Red49
888920.6
715314.2
10279.0
Blue82
19525.2
22820.0
15520.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416802060801001204982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8889
#30
20.60.6
18.018.6
Auto7.6
Teleop10.0
End3.0
blue by 4.5
195
#14
25.21.6
21.623.1
Auto6.4
Teleop18.2
End0.6
Second
7153
#24
14.20.6
13.814.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End2.4
blue by 6.7
155
#12
20.91.6
18.119.7
Auto8.5
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Third
1027
#35
9.00.8
8.49.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End0.2
blue by 11.0
228
#31
20.01.6
18.420.0
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed