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Red120
17320.9
17731.4
17646.2
Blue81
740730.6
549415.0
808526.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1107520406010012014016018012081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#2
46.20.3
45.145.5
Auto14.2
Teleop30.3
End1.6
red by 15.6
30.60.2
30.730.9
Auto9.7
Teleop15.5
End5.4
Second
177
#1
31.40.3
30.430.7
Auto12.3
Teleop17.9
End1.2
red by 5.0
26.40.2
26.526.7
Auto10.1
Teleop11.9
End4.5
Third
173
#22
20.90.3
19.920.3
Auto6.9
Teleop11.1
End2.9
red by 6.0
5494
#34
15.00.2
15.115.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.6