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Red89
109918.3
99930.1
514221.5
Blue108
31923.9
19525.2
169936.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions748940608010012014089108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#15
30.10.5
29.730.1
Auto11.1
Teleop16.6
End2.4
blue by 6.2
36.30.7
34.134.7
Auto12.1
Teleop20.8
End3.4
Second
5142
#11
21.50.5
21.121.5
Auto8.0
Teleop10.9
End2.6
blue by 3.6
195
#14
25.20.7
22.923.6
Auto6.4
Teleop18.2
End0.6
Third
18.30.5
17.918.3
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End3.3
blue by 5.6
319
#20
23.90.7
21.622.3
Auto7.8
Teleop15.9
End0.2