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Red107
346122.1
174029.2
46725.9
Blue79
888920.6
23024.4
870925.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847620406010012014016010779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.4
28.528.9
Auto12.9
Teleop13.3
End3.0
red by 4.2
25.00.1
24.925.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.8
End2.7
Second
467
#21
25.90.4
25.225.6
Auto7.3
Teleop15.7
End2.9
red by 1.5
230
#18
24.40.1
24.324.4
Auto9.0
Teleop11.7
End3.7
Third
3461
#16
22.10.4
21.421.7
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End0.6
red by 1.5
8889
#30
20.60.1
20.620.6
Auto7.6
Teleop10.0
End3.0