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Red74
808526.4
549415.0
740730.6
Blue71
109918.3
99930.1
514221.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81750501001502007471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.2
30.930.7
Auto9.7
Teleop15.5
End5.4
red by 0.5
999
#15
30.10.1
29.729.7
Auto11.1
Teleop16.6
End2.4
Second
26.40.2
26.726.5
Auto10.1
Teleop11.9
End4.5
red by 4.9
5142
#11
21.50.1
21.121.1
Auto8.0
Teleop10.9
End2.6
Third
5494
#34
15.00.2
15.315.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.6
blue by 3.3
18.30.1
17.917.9
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End3.3