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Red99
346122.1
174029.2
46725.9
Blue84
31923.9
19525.2
169936.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82856070901001101209984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.2
28.228.4
Auto12.9
Teleop13.3
End3.0
blue by 7.1
36.30.1
33.433.5
Auto12.1
Teleop20.8
End3.4
Second
467
#21
25.90.2
24.925.2
Auto7.3
Teleop15.7
End2.9
red by 0.8
195
#14
25.20.1
22.322.3
Auto6.4
Teleop18.2
End0.6
Third
3461
#16
22.10.2
21.121.3
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End0.6
blue by 1.8
319
#20
23.90.1
21.021.1
Auto7.8
Teleop15.9
End0.2