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Red80
808526.4
549415.0
740730.6
Blue56
83917.5
693321.1
23627.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81720501001502002503008056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.2
30.730.9
Auto9.7
Teleop15.5
End5.4
red by 3.1
236
#9
27.50.2
27.527.3
Auto9.8
Teleop8.0
End9.7
Second
26.40.2
26.626.7
Auto10.1
Teleop11.9
End4.5
red by 5.3
6933
#17
21.10.2
21.220.9
Auto10.8
Teleop7.6
End2.7
Third
5494
#34
15.00.2
15.115.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.6
blue by 2.5
839
#23
17.50.2
17.517.3
Auto3.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1