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Red37
693329.9
49877.7
633312.0
Blue66
320516.9
573532.3
271216.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445102060801001203766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.4
24.424.0
Auto13.2
Teleop14.0
End2.7
blue by 2.4
32.31.0
27.028.0
Auto11.4
Teleop18.5
End2.3
Second
6333
#17
12.00.4
9.49.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.4
End1.6
blue by 4.9
3205
#21
16.91.0
11.512.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End0.5
Third
4987
#34
7.70.4
6.66.2
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End2.3
blue by 8.5
2712
#13
16.21.0
6.87.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed