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Red17
175720.6
237025.7
23714.4
Blue78
19032.4
964415.2
500018.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625801001502001778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#18
25.72.6
22.219.6
Auto7.3
Teleop16.4
End1.9
blue by 6.8
190
#2
32.41.7
29.230.9
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End3.2
Second
1757
#15
20.62.6
18.115.6
Auto6.6
Teleop12.6
End1.4
red by 2.2
5000
#14
18.31.7
13.315.0
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End3.9
Third
237
#26
14.42.6
15.512.9
Auto6.3
Teleop7.2
End0.9
blue by 0.7
9644
#10
15.21.7
10.111.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned