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Red42
905610.1
15121.0
53478.6
Blue54
693329.9
23714.4
854416.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415202060801001204254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151
#12
21.00.3
17.617.9
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End0.8
blue by 8.9
29.90.1
24.023.9
Auto13.2
Teleop14.0
End2.7
Second
9056
#32
10.10.3
11.311.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.4
End1.7
blue by 6.0
16.00.1
9.18.9
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End2.4
Third
5347
#33
8.60.3
9.19.4
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End0.4
blue by 5.9
237
#26
14.40.1
12.912.8
Auto6.3
Teleop7.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned