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Red32
776010.7
596215.5
964415.2
Blue81
110028.3
320516.9
15720.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306202040801003281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5962
#27
15.50.7
13.012.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End0.3
blue by 12.8
28.31.8
22.524.3
Auto10.8
Teleop16.0
End1.5
Second
9644
#10
15.20.7
11.811.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End2.4
blue by 5.4
157
#11
20.51.8
16.818.6
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End1.8
Third
7760
#31
10.70.7
6.45.6
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End2.3
blue by 6.1
3205
#21
16.91.8
12.614.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed