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Red75
175720.6
226211.9
573532.3
Blue70
362318.2
237025.7
216819.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62592040801007570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.31.3
28.429.7
Auto11.4
Teleop18.5
End2.3
red by 6.6
2370
#18
25.71.1
20.521.6
Auto7.3
Teleop16.4
End1.9
Second
1757
#15
20.61.3
15.917.2
Auto6.6
Teleop12.6
End1.4
red by 1.6
2168
#22
19.01.1
16.217.3
Auto4.1
Teleop14.1
End0.8
Third
2262
#36
11.91.3
11.212.5
Auto7.0
Teleop3.7
End1.2
blue by 6.4
3623
#23
18.21.1
16.918.0
Auto7.2
Teleop8.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed