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Red58
15121.0
271216.2
854416.0
Blue76
964415.2
801330.0
332318.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3758020801001205876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151
#12
21.01.2
17.218.3
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End0.8
blue by 9.0
30.01.6
23.525.1
Auto9.2
Teleop15.4
End5.4
Second
2712
#13
16.21.2
10.311.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End1.4
blue by 2.3
3323
#20
18.51.6
15.417.0
Auto7.9
Teleop8.0
End2.6
Third
16.01.2
8.29.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End2.4
red by 0.8
9644
#10
15.21.6
11.012.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned