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Red89
776010.7
19032.4
110028.3
Blue31
34812.3
49877.7
23714.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions743102040601001201401608931

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#2
32.41.7
31.433.1
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End3.2
red by 18.0
237
#26
14.40.1
14.013.9
Auto6.3
Teleop7.2
End0.9
Second
28.31.7
26.027.7
Auto10.8
Teleop16.0
End1.5
red by 15.9
348
#19
12.30.1
10.910.8
Auto2.7
Teleop7.3
End2.4
Third
7760
#31
10.71.7
4.46.1
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End2.3
red by 3.1
4987
#34
7.70.1
7.97.8
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned