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Red60
176834.6
54916.9
693329.9
Blue87
596215.5
404833.2
15720.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636450607080906087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.0
26.926.9
Auto12.5
Teleop21.6
End0.6
red by 1.4
33.21.7
26.428.2
Auto12.0
Teleop17.6
End3.6
Second
29.90.0
24.424.4
Auto13.2
Teleop14.0
End2.7
red by 9.4
157
#11
20.51.7
17.919.6
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End1.8
Third
5491
#35
6.90.0
7.37.2
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End0.2
blue by 8.6
5962
#27
15.51.7
11.613.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed