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Red45
500018.3
362318.2
271216.2
Blue56
633312.0
854416.0
226211.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52290204060801001204556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5000
#14
18.30.0
15.215.2
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End3.9
red by 2.3
16.01.1
9.410.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End2.4
Second
3623
#23
18.20.0
18.018.0
Auto7.2
Teleop8.9
End2.1
red by 6.2
6333
#17
12.01.1
8.59.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Third
2712
#13
16.20.0
11.411.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End1.4
red by 4.3
2262
#36
11.91.1
11.112.2
Auto7.0
Teleop3.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned