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Red80
662013.0
776010.7
801330.0
Blue76
573532.3
110028.3
237025.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369302060801201401608076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.02.6
25.127.7
Auto9.2
Teleop15.4
End5.4
blue by 2.3
32.30.1
29.029.0
Auto11.4
Teleop18.5
End2.3
Second
6620
#29
13.02.6
7.910.5
Auto5.4
Teleop5.6
End2.0
blue by 15.3
28.30.1
27.727.6
Auto10.8
Teleop16.0
End1.5
Third
7760
#31
10.72.6
6.18.7
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End2.3
blue by 14.9
2370
#18
25.70.1
20.320.2
Auto7.3
Teleop16.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed