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Red42
175720.6
34812.3
6918.9
Blue69
320516.9
15121.0
207923.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4158020801001204269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1757
#15
20.60.2
15.816.0
Auto6.6
Teleop12.6
End1.4
blue by 2.8
2079
#25
23.30.9
18.519.4
Auto8.8
Teleop13.0
End1.5
Second
69
#24
18.90.2
12.512.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End1.6
blue by 2.1
151
#12
21.00.9
18.319.2
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End0.8
Third
348
#19
12.30.2
10.811.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.3
End2.4
blue by 4.6
3205
#21
16.90.9
13.414.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed