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Red64
110028.3
500018.3
102710.5
Blue69
216819.0
693329.9
6918.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58682040801001206469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.7
27.528.2
Auto10.8
Teleop16.0
End1.5
blue by 1.6
29.90.6
27.327.9
Auto13.2
Teleop14.0
End2.7
Second
5000
#14
18.30.7
16.517.1
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End3.9
blue by 0.7
2168
#22
19.00.6
17.618.1
Auto4.1
Teleop14.1
End0.8
Third
1027
#30
10.50.7
9.910.6
Auto2.1
Teleop7.4
End1.1
blue by 8.3
69
#24
18.90.6
15.315.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed