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Red58
910119.9
15720.5
207923.3
Blue96
801330.0
573532.3
854416.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6583401001201405896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2079
#25
23.30.2
21.221.0
Auto8.8
Teleop13.0
End1.5
blue by 9.0
32.30.5
29.630.1
Auto11.4
Teleop18.5
End2.3
Second
157
#11
20.50.2
21.120.9
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End1.8
blue by 9.5
30.00.5
28.529.0
Auto9.2
Teleop15.4
End5.4
Third
9101
#28
19.90.2
18.618.4
Auto7.2
Teleop12.0
End0.7
red by 3.9
16.00.5
14.915.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed59%Ensemble oddsEarned