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Red62
362318.2
801330.0
23714.4
Blue91
596215.5
207923.3
237025.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70612040801006291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.1
29.028.9
Auto9.2
Teleop15.4
End5.4
red by 4.3
2370
#18
25.71.7
23.725.4
Auto7.3
Teleop16.4
End1.9
Second
3623
#23
18.20.1
18.218.1
Auto7.2
Teleop8.9
End2.1
blue by 5.1
2079
#25
23.31.7
21.022.7
Auto8.8
Teleop13.0
End1.5
Third
237
#26
14.40.1
14.714.6
Auto6.3
Teleop7.2
End0.9
blue by 1.0
5962
#27
15.51.7
11.313.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
57%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned