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Red84
860417.5
110028.3
801330.0
Blue67
573532.3
362318.2
964415.2
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846940601001201408467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.7
28.928.2
Auto9.2
Teleop15.4
End5.4
blue by 2.3
32.30.2
31.631.7
Auto11.4
Teleop18.5
End2.3
Second
28.30.7
28.127.4
Auto10.8
Teleop16.0
End1.5
red by 10.0
3623
#23
18.20.2
18.118.2
Auto7.2
Teleop8.9
End2.1
Third
8604
#16
17.50.7
17.616.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.7
End2.8
red by 2.3
9644
#10
15.20.2
14.915.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned49%Ensemble oddsMissed