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Red58
6918.9
271216.2
596215.5
Blue70
34812.3
673122.4
320516.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49530204060801001205870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69
#24
18.90.5
17.217.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End1.6
blue by 3.5
22.40.8
20.721.5
Auto8.9
Teleop10.9
End2.6
Second
2712
#13
16.20.5
15.015.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End1.4
blue by 0.7
3205
#21
16.90.8
15.216.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End0.5
Third
5962
#27
15.50.5
13.013.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End0.3
red by 3.1
348
#19
12.30.8
11.512.3
Auto2.7
Teleop7.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned