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Red44
237719.8
99984.0
907221.0
Blue42
99991.5
46388.8
172729.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4557020801001204442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9072
#10
21.00.3
19.820.0
Auto7.4
Teleop14.6
End-1.1
blue by 8.2
1727
#19
29.10.6
35.635.1
Auto8.1
Teleop20.0
End1.0
Second
19.80.3
18.218.5
Auto4.4
Teleop10.8
End4.7
red by 11.0
4638
#17
8.80.6
7.56.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.2
End0.7
Third
9998
#14
4.00.4
2.02.5
Auto0.7
Teleop3.6
End-0.1
red by 2.6
9999
#27
1.50.9
2.21.3
Auto2.6
Teleop-2.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed