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Red21
19157.2
86228.9
171910.2
Blue44
162925.0
25379.7
409915.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2460040801001202144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1719
#23
10.20.6
11.210.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.7
End2.6
blue by 14.8
25.00.7
25.224.5
Auto14.5
Teleop10.2
End0.3
Second
8622
#15
8.90.6
7.87.2
Auto4.6
Teleop3.3
End1.0
blue by 6.6
4099
#16
15.40.7
15.214.5
Auto6.4
Teleop8.7
End0.3
Third
1915
#22
7.20.6
7.26.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End-0.2
blue by 2.6
2537
#25
9.70.7
9.78.9
Auto5.6
Teleop2.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed52%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed