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Red23
77704.4
68620.4
6124.4
Blue61
374817.6
872616.9
219915.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335902040801002361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#24
20.40.7
20.219.6
Auto9.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
red by 2.8
3748
#18
17.60.1
17.417.4
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End1.4
Second
7770
#12
4.40.7
5.85.2
Auto1.4
Teleop2.4
End0.6
blue by 12.4
16.90.1
18.318.4
Auto7.1
Teleop7.0
End2.7
Third
612
#28
4.40.7
6.86.1
Auto2.2
Teleop0.6
End1.5
blue by 11.4
2199
#20
15.80.1
14.514.5
Auto8.1
Teleop7.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed